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JOURNAL OF APPLIED BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
Residential Urban Overcrowding in Alexandria, Egypt: A Spatial Econometrics Analysis
Author(s): Shawky Mansour, Mohamed M. Mostafa
Citation: Shawky Mansour, Mohamed M. Mostafa, (2018) "Residential Urban Overcrowding in Alexandria, Egypt: A Spatial Econometrics Analysis," Journal of Applied Business and Economics, Vol. 20, Iss.4, pp. 132-143
Article Type: Research paper
Publisher: North American Business Press
Abstract:
Although residential crowding has various impacts on household socioeconomic and health
circumstances, there has been a dearth of research investigating and predicting spatial patterns of
overcrowding in Arab nations. In this work, analytical modeling techniques are applied to investigate the interrelationships between residential overcrowding and other explanatory variables in Alexandria,
Egypt. Global (Ordinarily Least Squared) and local (Autoregressive, Error Term and Geographically
Weighted regression) models are employed to conduct the analysis. As global model, OLS assumes
homogeneity among spatial predictors and it fails to account for spatial non-stationary. In contrast, the
proposed local spatial econometric models can easily model spatial autocorrelation and spatial
heterogeneity. Population density and one-room-dwelling were found to be positively and significantly
associated with overcrowding, while higher education of residents and five rooms dwelling were
negatively related to residential overcrowding across Alexandria districts. Significant implications
ranging from governmental subsidy to planning public housing are discussed.
