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JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE

Investigating the Impact of Inflation on the Returns of Botswana’s Equity Market


Author(s): Kopano J Bolokwe, Ishmael Radikoko

Citation: Kopano J Bolokwe, Ishmael Radikoko, (2017) "Investigating the Impact of Inflation on the Returns of Botswana’s Equity Market",  Journal of Accounting and Finance, Vol. 17, ss. 9, pp. 31-45

Article Type: Research paper

Publisher: North American Business Press

Abstract:

In this paper, we investigate the impact of inflation on Botswana’s equity returns. The study tests whether Fama’s (1981) proxy hypothesis holds in the context of Botswana. Using a Vector Autoregressive estimation approach, we undertake several statistical tests to validate data and generate results to investigate the underpinning hypothesis. The results show that inflation negatively impacts stock market returns in the long run. These findings carry important implications for investors, stock market analysts, scholars and policy makers and they contribute immensely to the pool of knowledge about the transmission mechanisms between the equity market and the macro economy in Botswana.